|
In
September, the Fund rose 9.9% (the FTSE Gold Mines Index
was +7.3%, gold and silver +2.2% and palladium +5.2%.
In 2004, the fund is -10.9% after +80% in 2003. As of
12/10/04, this 10% shortfall has been substantially
closed. Our sector - a volatile one - is once again
tap dancing in the footlights.
We
increased the fund's exposure to silver (Apex and Penoles)
and added more junior/intermediate names. As we believe
the gold bull market is in its infancy, we are maintaining
a high exposure to smaller companies with high operational
gearing to metals prices.
Argentina
increased its gold holdings by about a quarter against
a more bullish background for lower than expected Central
Bank sales... Chinese gold demand is set to triple from
200t to 600t in coming years... a US exchange traded
fund (StreetTRACKS) could soon trade on the NYSE, adding
to demand for gold... UBS increased its forecast for
gold... the USD traded lower in response to further
bad news on the US current account deficit - gold benefits
from a lower USD.
We
need a push higher in the gold price above the old highs
near $430 for our fund to re-enact last year's performance,
and we may be a little "overbought" for now.
But the fund is leveraged to this possibility. It's
got holdings in pre-IPO stock (eg African Minerals),
a much reduced bullion position (4% in palladium), the
highest share weighting it's ever had (96%), an overwhelmingly
small-cap emphasis and just under 5% in options and
warrants.
| Portfolio
Changes |
| Net
Buys - Sept 04 |
Net
Sales - Sept 04 |
| 1.
Bolivar Gold |
1.
Harmony Gold |
| 2.
Freeport-McMoran |
2.
Goldfields |
| 3.
Industrias Penoles |
3.
Mvelaphandra Resources |
| 4.
Gammon Lake |
4.
Placer Dome |
| 5.
Oceana Gold |
5.
Apollo Gold |
| 6.
Bendigo Mining |
6.
High River Gold |
| 7.
Berna Gold |
7.
Randgold |
| 8.
Apex Silver |
|
| 9.
Coeur d'Alene |
|
| 10.
Lihir Gold |
|
 |
 |
| Asset
Allocation (as at 30/9/04) |
Top
10 Holdings (38% of fund) |
| Gold
and resource shares: 95.9% |
1.
Randgold 5.8% |
| |
2.
Placer Dome 4.5% |
| Palladium:
3.9% |
3.
Northern Orion 4.1% |
| |
4.
Palladium Bullion 3.9% |
| Cash:
0.2% |
5.
Freeport-McMoran 3.6% |
| |
6.
Apex Silver 3.5% |
| |
7.
European Gold Wts 3.4% |
| |
8.
Resolute Mining 3% |
| |
9.
Rio Narcea Gold 3% |
| |
10.
Mvelaphandra 2.9% |
 |
 |
| Asset
Allocation (per month) |
 |
| Performance
in USD |
| Since
inception (20/2/03): |
| |
20/2/03
|
31/9/04
|
%
ch
|
| P&C
Global Gold Fund (Gross NAV) |
1000
|
1600.59
|
+60%
|
| Value
of $1,000 invested (after fees) |
1000
|
1510.98
|
+51%
|
| |
|
|
|
| FTSE
Gold Mines Index |
1240
|
1708
|
+38%
|
| Gold
bullion |
352
|
418
|
+19%
|
| Silver
bullion |
4.65
|
6.90
|
+48%
|
| Palladium
bullion |
252 |
223 |
-12% |
| |
| Monthly
performance (%, gross) |
| 2003 |
| Jan |
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec |
| n/a |
-2.2
|
-1.5 |
3.1 |
9.0 |
2.0 |
9.8 |
19.1 |
4.4 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
3.3 |
| 2004 |
| Jan |
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec |
| -5.0 |
2.00 |
6.8 |
-19.7 |
1.4 |
-6.1 |
-2.2 |
4.9 |
9.9 |
|
|
|
| |
| All
prices and comparative numbers are unaudited and
for indication purposes only. |
|