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In
October, the Fund rose 5.2% (the FTSE Gold Mines Index
was +3.8%, gold + 2.3% and silver +5.7% and palladium
-5.8%. In 2004, the fund is -6.2% after +80% in 2003.
As of now 11/11/04, this 6% shortfall has been closed
once again. Our volatile sector is once again attracting
attention, though institutional weightings in mining
shares remain way below the averages of the 80's and
90's.
In
October we made some minor changes. As we believe the
bull market in gold is still in its infancy, it is sensible
to maintain a high exposure to smaller companies with
high operational gearing to the gold/metals prices.
Baker Steel are experts in this area and this is why
we have chosen them as advisers.
News
flow continued favorable. LionOre bid for MPI Mines
in Australia, which we hold. Harmony (in which we have
a large position) announced its intention to make a
USD 8bn offer for Goldfields to make the 2nd largest
gold mine in the world. This is bitterly contested by
Goldfield's board. We sold Harmony, but noted that Norilsk
Nickel's involvement shows how major - in this case,
Russian - companies recognise the strategic necessity
to acquire elephant sized resources. Various Canadian
producers, including Berna, Eldorado, Cambior, Rio Narcea
and Yamana Gold, did equity raisings. Northern Orion
- our third largest position - is reported to be in
joint venture talks with a Korean smelting group in
the Agua Rica project (Argentina). IMA released excellent
drill hole results from the Navidad property in Argentina,
leading to upwards revisions of resource size. A US
exchange traded fund (StreetTRACKS) is about to trade
on the NYSE, adding to demand for gold. Critically,
the USD traded lower ahead of the US election (gold
benefits from a lower USD).
We've
positioned the fund not to sleep through a gold price
recovery. It's got holdings in pre-IPO stock (eg African
Minerals), a much reduced bullion position (only 4%
and now only in palladium), the highest share weighting
it's ever had (97%), an overwhelmingly small to mid-cap
emphasis and just under 5% in options and warrants positions.
| Portfolio
Changes |
| Net
Buys - Oct 04 |
Net
Sales - Oct 04 |
| 1.
Guinor Gold Corp |
1.
Harmony Gold |
| 2.
Yamana |
2.
Cambior |
|
3.
GRD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
 |
| Asset
Allocation (as at 29/10/04) |
Top
10 Holdings (38% of fund) |
| Gold
and resource shares: 97% |
1.
Randgold 6.2% |
| |
2.
Placer Dome 4.7% |
| Palladium:
3.7% |
3.
Northern Orion 4.2% |
| |
4.
Resolute Mining 4.0% |
| Cash:
-0.7% |
5.
Palladium Bullion 3.7% |
| |
6.
Oceana Gold 3.3% |
| |
7.
Freeport-McMoran 3.2% |
| |
8.
Apex Silver 3.0% |
| |
9.
European Gold Wts 3.0% |
| |
10.
MPI Mines 3.0% |
 |
 |
| Asset
Allocation (per month) |
 |
| Performance
in USD |
| Since
inception (20/2/03): |
| |
20/2/03
|
29/10/04
|
%
ch
|
| P&C
Global Gold Fund (Gross NAV) |
1000
|
1683.75
|
+68%
|
| Value
of $1,000 invested (after fees) |
1000
|
1558.49
|
+59%
|
| |
|
|
|
| FTSE
Gold Mines Index |
1240
|
1774
|
+43%
|
| Gold
bullion |
352
|
428
|
+22%
|
| Silver
bullion |
4.65
|
7.29
|
+57%
|
| Palladium
bullion |
252 |
210 |
-17% |
| |
| Monthly
performance (%, gross) |
| 2003 |
| Jan |
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec |
| n/a |
-2.2
|
-1.5 |
3.1 |
9.0 |
2.0 |
9.8 |
19.1 |
4.4 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
3.3 |
| 2004 |
| Jan |
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec |
| -5.0 |
2.00 |
6.8 |
-19.7 |
1.4 |
-6.1 |
-2.2 |
4.9 |
9.9 |
5.2 |
|
|
| |
| All
prices and comparative numbers are unaudited and
for indication purposes only. |
|