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In
May, the fund was up 1.4% but behind this modest but
pleasing advance was a highly volatile and nervous month's
trading as the mining share sector sought to build a
base after a blood-letting in April. So far this year,
the fund is down 15% after +80% in 2003.
The
fund's handsome returns last year came from exposure
to the more specialist area of intermediate and small
cap mining stocks and for the time being these are lagging
large caps. Consequently, the fund lagged the FTSE Gold
Mines Index - a large cap index - last month. Metals,
notably silver, where the fund has a large position,
were steadier.
The
fund's managers, Baker Steel, think most of the recent
sector selling may have taken place near the volatile
medium term lows. Time will tell. Baker Steel's two
principals have been calmly going about their business
of visiting interesting companies over the last few
weeks. They tell us they can see 'outstanding value
re-emerge in the market'. The MBH Commodity Survey shows
a 17 year record low in the level of bulls (10%). The
speculative COMEX long position is at its lowest level
since July 2003, when gold was $50 lower.
As
at 31/5/04 the fund remained invested in a diversified
portfolio of major, medium-sized and junior gold and
mining company shares active in North America, Australasia,
Africa, Russia and other countries, as well as a large
physical position in the metals themselves (13% silver
+ 4% palladium = 17% of the fund).
We
repeat our message of last month: "investors who
buy at these levels will see excellent multi year returns
and April 2004 will be seen as insignificant a blip
on a chart as the double-digit corrections in each of
the last 3 years now appear. Even if metals correct
further from here on continuing liquidation, we doubt
that shares will feel the same downdraft. Short-term
panic has created longer-term opportunity."
| Asset
Allocation (as at 31/5/04) |
Top
10 Holdings (49% of fund) |
| Gold
and resource shares: 82% |
1.
Silver Bullion 13% |
| |
2.
Mvelaphandra Res 5% |
| Silver,
gold, palladium: 17% |
3.
Harmony Gold 4% |
| |
4.
Palladium Bullion 4% |
| Cash
1% |
5.
Ivanhoe 4% |
| |
6.
Randgold 4% |
| |
7.
Northern Orion 4% |
| |
8.
Placer Dome 4% |
| |
9.
Goldfields 4% |
| |
10.
European Gold 3% |
| Asset
Allocation (per month) |
 |
| Performance
in USD |
| Since
inception (20/2/03): |
| |
20/2/03
|
31/5/04
|
%
ch
|
| P&C
Global Gold Fund (Gross NAV) |
1000
|
1511.87
|
+51%
|
| Value
of $1,000 invested (after fees) |
1000
|
1427.23
|
+43%
|
| |
|
|
|
| FTSE
Gold Mines Index |
1240
|
1521
|
+23%
|
| Gold
bullion |
352
|
394
|
+12%
|
| Silver
bullion |
4.65
|
6.17
|
+33%
|
| Palladium
bullion |
252 |
245 |
-3% |
| |
| Monthly
performance (%, gross) |
| 2003 |
| Jan |
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec |
| n/a |
-2.2
|
-1.5 |
3.1 |
9.0 |
2.0 |
9.8 |
19.1 |
4.4 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
3.3 |
| 2004 |
| Jan |
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec |
| -5.0 |
2.00 |
6.8 |
-19.7 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
| All
prices and comparative numbers are unaudited and
for indication purposes only. |
|