The P&C Global Gold and Natural Resources Fund rose
by 10% in July, seed investors of 5 months ago have made
over 20%. The FTSE Gold Mines index (USD) was +1% in July
and the Merrill Lynch International Gold and General Fund
(USD) +7%. We are ahead of this leading fund and the FTSE
Gold Index by over 10% since inception, though our benchmark
is USD cash, not an index. In July, Gold rose 3% and Silver
14%.
As
at 31/7/03 the Fund remained fully invested in a diversified
portfolio of major, medium-sized and junior gold and
mining company shares active in N. America, Australasia,
Africa, Russia and many other countries, as well as
an increasingly large position in the metals themselves
(13% silver + 19% gold = 32% of total) at month end.
In
July, we increased physical gold and silver again (metals
have lagged shares). Silver broke USD 5/oz before retracing
somewhat. We increased exposure - yet again - to silver
producer Coeur d'Alene (now 8% of the fund) and Miramar
Mining, Resolute Mining and Thistle Mining (through
a convertible). We received shares in Ballarat Goldfields,
an exciting prospect. We sold Lion Selection.
Financial
institutions are waking up to the gold bull market,
but actual investments are small, implying demand for
investments that we already hold. Gold's bull points
improve by the day: abundant central bank liquidity,
WGC exchange traded funds, Chinese gold market liberalisation,
renewed corporate activity (Ashanti/AngloGold/Randgold)
and some (unofficial) inflation targeting in Japan and
elsewhere. Newmont, the world's largest gold mining
company, predicts USD 450 gold next year. We feel that
gold must break USD 400 to justify some of the recent
share rises and we caution investors that failure to
breach this level may cause a share correction.
| ASSET
ALLOCATION |
TEN
LARGEST HOLDINGS |
| Gold
and resource shares 68% |
1.
Gold Bullion 19% |
| |
2.
Silver Bullion 13% |
| Bullion
(silver and gold) 32% |
3.
Coeur d'Alene 8% |
| |
4.
Harmony Gold 4% |
| Cash
0% |
5.
Cambior 4% |
| |
6.
Golden Star Resources 4% |
| |
7.
Thistle Mining 4% |
| |
8.
Lihir Gold 3% |
| |
9.
Aber Diamond 3% |
| |
10.
Oxus Gold 3% |
| PERFORMANCE
IN USD (net of fees) to end July 2003 |
| Since
inception (20/2/03): |
| |
20/2/03
|
31/7/03
|
%
change
|
| P&C
Global Gold and Natural Resources Fund |
1000
|
1214.26
|
+21%
|
| Merrill
Lynch Int'l Gold and General Fund |
2.79
|
3.08
|
+10%
|
| FTSE
Gold Mines Index |
1240
|
1343
|
+8%
|
| |
|
|
|
| Gold
bullion |
352
|
355
|
+1%
|
| Silver
bullion |
4.65
|
5.17
|
+11%
|
| |
|
|
|
| Note:
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
All prices and comparative numbers are unaudited
and for indication purposes only. |
|