P&C
Global Gold And Natural Resources Fund
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INVESTORS MONTHLY REPORT (as at 30th April, 2004)

April 2004 was an excruciating and volatile month for gold and metal investors and for the Fund, which fell by 19.7%. The FTSE Gold Mines index fell by 22% and wiped out nine months of gains. There was no sanctuary in metals. Silver - nearly a fifth of the fund - collapsed by 24% and gold and palladium, though relatively resistant, saw falls of 'only' 8% and 12% respectively. What caused this mini firestorm? Expected higher $ rates and slower growth in China, a rally in an oversold $, huge net long/leveraged positions in metals (nearly 20mn oz in gold), all accompanied by a panicky and indiscriminate liquidation. This has continued into May with nearly every other traded asset market (Tokyo to Toronto, bonds to Baltic futures) under the gun... with the notable exception of oil (ironically, an inflation component, and therefore a 'friend' of hard assets like gold).

As at 30/4/04 the Fund stayed fully invested in a diversified portfolio of major, medium-sized and junior gold and mining company shares active in North America, Australasia, Africa, Russia and other countries, as well as a large physical position in the metals themselves (12% silver + 4% palladium = 17% of the Fund). By month end the share weighting was increased at the expense of metals. Our Advisers, Baker Steel, say gold shares are now "significantly" undervalued relative to gold: regression analysis suggests that, based upon the current - lower - price of gold, the XAU index (a 12 stock mining index) should be at 109 (currently near 80).

Conditions will remain choppy while the market adjusts to a higher $ and until exponents of the $ "carry trade" (free-lunch $ borrowing at 1% for longer term speculation) have been truly burned. Net long positions are now back to pre-bull market levels, below 10mn oz. Though the bottom is not necessarily "in" yet, we believe that investors who buy at these levels will see excellent multi year returns and April 2004 will be seen as insignificant a blip on a chart as the double-digit corrections in each of the last 3 years now appear. Even if metals correct further from here on continuing liquidation, we doubt that shares will feel the same downdraft. Short-term panic has created longer-term opportunity and this, as Baron Rothschild once said, is the best time to buy.

Asset Allocation (as at 30/4/04) Top 10 Holdings (46% of fund)
Gold and resource shares: 86% 1. Silver Bullion 12%
  2. Mvelaphandra Res 5%
Silver, gold, palladium: 17% 3. Palladium Bullion 4%
  4. Harmony Gold 4%
Cash (3%) 5. Ivanhoe 4%
  6. Randgold 4%
  7. Placer Dome 4%
  8. European Goldfields 3%
  9. Northern Orion 3%
  10. African Minerals 3% (pre IPO subsc)
Asset Allocation (per month)

Performance in USD
Since inception (20/2/03):
 
20/2/03
30/4/04
% ch
P&C Global Gold Fund (Gross NAV)
1000
1491.48
+49%
Value of $1,000 invested (after fees)
1000
1407.96
+41%
 
FTSE Gold Mines Index
1240
1380
+11%
Gold bullion
352
388
+10%
Silver bullion
4.65
5.95
+28%
Palladium bullion 252 252 -0%
 

Monthly performance (%, gross)
2003
Jan Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
n/a -2.2
-1.5 3.1 9.0 2.0 9.8 19.1 4.4 7.4 7.1 3.3
2004
Jan Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
-5.0 2.00 6.8 -19.7                
 
All prices and comparative numbers are unaudited and for indication purposes only.

P&C Global Gold and Natural Resources Fund
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